7.0 KiB
7.0 KiB
| 1 | 方案 | 模型 | RMSE | MAE | R2 | 未来预测最小值 | 未来预测最大值 | 未来预测均值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12_日期数值 | 梯度提升树 | 1115.505147894367 | 754.6104141829828 | 0.6459076101057781 | 3884 | 8023 | 6177.22 |
| 3 | 12_日期数值 | 随机森林 | 1211.6404640631436 | 857.2259950393145 | 0.5822456578217434 | 3778 | 7634 | 5700.92 |
| 4 | 12_日期数值 | 极端随机树 | 1016.4235733532818 | 804.2402630385485 | 0.7060165426206524 | 2681 | 6504 | 4381.72 |
| 5 | 12_日期数值 | HistGBDT | 1081.1379394711937 | 734.543109383189 | 0.667389732676323 | 3657 | 8062 | 5775.15 |
| 6 | 12_日期数值 | SVR | 1302.8065606379432 | 1122.631254189851 | 0.517015371360585 | 3203 | 5408 | 4553.72 |
| 7 | 12_日期sin | 梯度提升树 | 1037.9787565353552 | 864.907988042832 | 0.6934153789548839 | 1752 | 6174 | 3687.28 |
| 8 | 12_日期sin | 随机森林 | 1300.1505289996633 | 1061.3027606571065 | 0.5189826853858082 | 1966 | 5800 | 3536.75 |
| 9 | 12_日期sin | 极端随机树 | 1019.3127219314714 | 823.7222013605436 | 0.7043428918888557 | 1914 | 5888 | 3584.54 |
| 10 | 12_日期sin | HistGBDT | 1065.2572354517981 | 863.3337389503802 | 0.6770893113579488 | 2111 | 7633 | 4194.25 |
| 11 | 12_日期sin | SVR | 1514.2320642644604 | 1364.971543352133 | 0.3475333594320331 | 1813 | 4998 | 3673.18 |
| 12 | 12_日期cos | 梯度提升树 | 1102.1009812913542 | 934.5573526964807 | 0.654366194091462 | 1451 | 6394 | 3750.99 |
| 13 | 12_日期cos | 随机森林 | 1349.2073040509797 | 1168.881334404296 | 0.4819987561114465 | 1960 | 5927 | 3613.88 |
| 14 | 12_日期cos | 极端随机树 | 1167.5748397557088 | 989.3852519274374 | 0.6120793570853851 | 1898 | 5622 | 3508.44 |
| 15 | 12_日期cos | HistGBDT | 1207.8821487389928 | 1031.8720725902147 | 0.5848332530139425 | 1864 | 7623 | 4161.42 |
| 16 | 12_日期cos | SVR | 1266.5629805240928 | 1123.6204857013158 | 0.5435144697239268 | 1868 | 5162 | 3719.4 |
| 17 | 12_年内第几天 | 梯度提升树 | 910.5720267585195 | 741.091899857133 | 0.7640597451116528 | 1626 | 6348 | 3648.54 |
| 18 | 12_年内第几天 | 随机森林 | 1125.0275082985734 | 915.0238153129942 | 0.6398364829590523 | 1971 | 5152 | 3349.19 |
| 19 | 12_年内第几天 | 极端随机树 | 1010.022890809697 | 801.2023117913834 | 0.7097074645417395 | 1906 | 5624 | 3509.47 |
| 20 | 12_年内第几天 | HistGBDT | 1015.9546264325356 | 824.2028863511464 | 0.7062877500933793 | 1971 | 7453 | 4134.83 |
| 21 | 12_年内第几天 | SVR | 1408.7450455752507 | 1271.6382669589445 | 0.4352734075175475 | 1913 | 4987 | 3632.62 |
| 22 | 12_年内进度 | 梯度提升树 | 910.5720267585195 | 741.091899857133 | 0.7640597451116528 | 1626 | 6348 | 3648.54 |
| 23 | 12_年内进度 | 随机森林 | 1125.0275082985734 | 915.0238153129942 | 0.6398364829590523 | 1971 | 5152 | 3349.41 |
| 24 | 12_年内进度 | 极端随机树 | 1010.0228908096968 | 801.2023117913834 | 0.7097074645417396 | 1906 | 5624 | 3509.47 |
| 25 | 12_年内进度 | HistGBDT | 1015.9546264325356 | 824.2028863511464 | 0.7062877500933793 | 1971 | 7453 | 4134.83 |
| 26 | 12_年内进度 | SVR | 1408.7450455752507 | 1271.6382669589445 | 0.4352734075175476 | 1913 | 4987 | 3632.62 |
| 27 | 12_周序号 | 梯度提升树 | 1069.803614918048 | 903.2622617081902 | 0.6743271479086517 | 2006 | 6530 | 3973.86 |
| 28 | 12_周序号 | 随机森林 | 1243.5446976109674 | 1041.5134963439052 | 0.5599558665365664 | 1983 | 6140 | 3651.16 |
| 29 | 12_周序号 | 极端随机树 | 1035.7721993969274 | 826.6126054421767 | 0.694717481574221 | 1964 | 5895 | 3568.12 |
| 30 | 12_周序号 | HistGBDT | 1112.59713175554 | 920.3983467960975 | 0.6477513742747558 | 1935 | 7559 | 4098.05 |
| 31 | 12_周序号 | SVR | 1292.2405499799693 | 1150.5398648996525 | 0.5248177985800409 | 1860 | 5149 | 3786.9 |
| 32 | 12_周序号sin | 梯度提升树 | 1063.281232768076 | 882.1390025824226 | 0.6782861689221613 | 1934 | 6414 | 3830.73 |
| 33 | 12_周序号sin | 随机森林 | 1292.9475995090163 | 1061.5729066667654 | 0.524297664357741 | 1983 | 5483 | 3536.65 |
| 34 | 12_周序号sin | 极端随机树 | 1014.1497745380785 | 816.5771680272105 | 0.7073303876817728 | 1887 | 5788 | 3534.99 |
| 35 | 12_周序号sin | HistGBDT | 1102.938167765176 | 893.2039949691602 | 0.6538408885976152 | 2032 | 7599 | 4183.36 |
| 36 | 12_周序号sin | SVR | 1503.9741029680147 | 1354.4278894326096 | 0.35634351127843267 | 1807 | 5003 | 3670.59 |
| 37 | 12_月内日 | 梯度提升树 | 1075.2787348073598 | 910.5418237040739 | 0.6709851125668345 | 1823 | 6745 | 4072.24 |
| 38 | 12_月内日 | 随机森林 | 1243.6349732406059 | 1038.4677767446087 | 0.5598919738542543 | 1942 | 6236 | 3665.28 |
| 39 | 12_月内日 | 极端随机树 | 1022.4506637906521 | 825.6662979591832 | 0.7025197362733295 | 1971 | 5942 | 3609.59 |
| 40 | 12_月内日 | HistGBDT | 1098.717892872152 | 907.8006929324015 | 0.6564849019907664 | 1965 | 7569 | 4085.0 |
| 41 | 12_月内日 | SVR | 1295.0430615629316 | 1151.4692010654137 | 0.522754486650163 | 1842 | 5183 | 3805.16 |
| 42 | 12_月内日sin | 梯度提升树 | 1067.22297417614 | 906.8146759377944 | 0.6758964657440301 | 1878 | 6598 | 3910.3 |
| 43 | 12_月内日sin | 随机森林 | 1242.2027167294766 | 1044.5619603560458 | 0.5609051081316705 | 1972 | 6006 | 3668.2 |
| 44 | 12_月内日sin | 极端随机树 | 995.1317369549822 | 783.5088700680266 | 0.7182041522270597 | 1885 | 5868 | 3581.37 |
| 45 | 12_月内日sin | HistGBDT | 1105.813282654649 | 918.9424734351023 | 0.6520338164721056 | 1821 | 7375 | 4119.0 |
| 46 | 12_月内日sin | SVR | 1294.6875882479544 | 1143.1041218806386 | 0.5230164466831182 | 1735 | 5223 | 3787.08 |
| 47 | 12_季度内月份 | 梯度提升树 | 1030.8840120603018 | 873.0194697266488 | 0.6975921616220541 | 1949 | 6684 | 3925.74 |
| 48 | 12_季度内月份 | 随机森林 | 1253.0127757589096 | 1049.3735973230855 | 0.5532295571774203 | 1912 | 6205 | 3643.17 |
| 49 | 12_季度内月份 | 极端随机树 | 1022.5707998779073 | 823.3960331065751 | 0.7024498253900622 | 1963 | 6010 | 3627.72 |
| 50 | 12_季度内月份 | HistGBDT | 1104.0353223349737 | 907.1740751082931 | 0.6531518582216439 | 2021 | 7502 | 4113.82 |
| 51 | 12_季度内月份 | SVR | 1279.4999059696324 | 1136.644561330494 | 0.5341415772015901 | 1813 | 5170 | 3795.71 |
| 52 | 12_是否月初 | 梯度提升树 | 1074.707109174901 | 911.4478533502376 | 0.6713348327770166 | 2009 | 6741 | 4032.85 |
| 53 | 12_是否月初 | 随机森林 | 1251.1986686370237 | 1047.3387084749343 | 0.5545222857849463 | 1996 | 6222 | 3699.8 |
| 54 | 12_是否月初 | 极端随机树 | 1004.7715101011122 | 798.0876673469379 | 0.7127182352012016 | 1952 | 5982 | 3692.01 |
| 55 | 12_是否月初 | HistGBDT | 1090.5958037531236 | 900.8674504846922 | 0.6615448864141861 | 2005 | 7533 | 4136.36 |
| 56 | 12_是否月初 | SVR | 1266.2996781493812 | 1123.4419542652251 | 0.5437042450965154 | 1820 | 5174 | 3796.87 |
| 57 | 12_是否月末 | 梯度提升树 | 1051.1491771051826 | 889.5436406255417 | 0.6855858052834116 | 1934 | 6997 | 4023.66 |
| 58 | 12_是否月末 | 随机森林 | 1252.4058220639308 | 1048.5324678294116 | 0.553662279492491 | 2037 | 6112 | 3700.39 |
| 59 | 12_是否月末 | 极端随机树 | 1023.9819170179634 | 821.4061183673467 | 0.7016280380651778 | 1955 | 5912 | 3665.4 |
| 60 | 12_是否月末 | HistGBDT | 1099.3134078227854 | 912.4381059898651 | 0.6561124245479075 | 1990 | 7477 | 4095.89 |
| 61 | 12_是否月末 | SVR | 1266.3037333555528 | 1118.853560743366 | 0.5437013226029602 | 1840 | 5168 | 3791.36 |
| 62 | 12_日期分箱4 | 梯度提升树 | 1159.7677465407507 | 959.746334523742 | 0.6172497448666919 | 1082 | 6711 | 3760.55 |
| 63 | 12_日期分箱4 | 随机森林 | 1354.8648153138981 | 1127.6347175619164 | 0.4776454707850357 | 1242 | 6317 | 3767.98 |
| 64 | 12_日期分箱4 | 极端随机树 | 1045.4835916765785 | 878.4472097505668 | 0.6889659912708692 | 1464 | 5909 | 3542.3 |
| 65 | 12_日期分箱4 | HistGBDT | 1081.9800025011405 | 878.4483264538926 | 0.6668714123558845 | 1264 | 7770 | 4128.71 |
| 66 | 12_日期分箱4 | SVR | 1416.8450442399799 | 1279.3344630153172 | 0.4287606105220405 | 1600 | 5424 | 3788.31 |
| 67 | 12_日期分箱8 | 梯度提升树 | 1132.6317366268574 | 943.8527579349204 | 0.6349512308901111 | 1356 | 6726 | 4009.71 |
| 68 | 12_日期分箱8 | 随机森林 | 1303.8402293998106 | 1094.8299032973075 | 0.516248650968877 | 1246 | 6253 | 3806.88 |
| 69 | 12_日期分箱8 | 极端随机树 | 1386.534777125338 | 1147.028979138322 | 0.4529399894883904 | 1012 | 6887 | 3894.88 |
| 70 | 12_日期分箱8 | HistGBDT | 1039.4639834179268 | 842.3983219405343 | 0.6925373773716995 | 1388 | 7779 | 4362.77 |
| 71 | 12_日期分箱8 | SVR | 1366.5766542260164 | 1225.520011226714 | 0.4685756746775356 | 1775 | 5362 | 3841.55 |