3.4 KiB
3.4 KiB
| 1 | 特征方案 | 模型 | 特征数 | 训练集样本数 | 测试集样本数 | 训练日期起 | 训练日期止 | 测试日期起 | 测试日期止 | RMSE | MAE | R2 | 测试预测最小值 | 测试预测最大值 | 未来预测最小值 | 未来预测最大值 | 未来预测均值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 13特征_日期sin_cos | 梯度提升树 | 13 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1035.393806499406 | 869.0366952335274 | 0.6949404951600915 | 1193.005865875163 | 7448.828701180003 | 1862 | 6350 | 3848.46 |
| 3 | 12特征_仅日期sin | 梯度提升树 | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1037.9787565353552 | 864.907988042832 | 0.6934153789548839 | 1570.2284280500735 | 7557.904184096963 | 1752 | 6174 | 3687.28 |
| 4 | 11特征_无日期 | 梯度提升树 | 11 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1065.8819685946905 | 903.8377254645945 | 0.6767104504461063 | 1526.0106661213501 | 7445.060381049142 | 1927 | 6896 | 4029.71 |
| 5 | 12特征_日期数值 | 线性回归 | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1100.6960028141114 | 802.9604968933488 | 0.6552468729685021 | 1667.5505098104527 | 7202.426019549715 | 1341 | 5571 | 3322.7 |
| 6 | 11特征_无日期 | 线性回归 | 11 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1102.6619968627012 | 803.6253768758826 | 0.6540142203549053 | 1677.5487160817047 | 7191.784877243726 | 1775 | 6001 | 3756.0 |
| 7 | 12特征_仅日期sin | 线性回归 | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1109.0855745651786 | 812.0301896212464 | 0.6499713857316858 | 1680.4361958712066 | 7184.255023908034 | 1772 | 6010 | 3754.92 |
| 8 | 13特征_日期sin_cos | 线性回归 | 13 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1111.9746531184803 | 816.5536163460256 | 0.6481454179049195 | 1691.5799618779006 | 7248.332307970662 | 1775 | 5909 | 3690.63 |
| 9 | 12特征_日期数值 | 梯度提升树 | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1115.505147894367 | 754.6104141829828 | 0.6459076101057781 | 2210.8052037892908 | 7886.894463218566 | 3884 | 8023 | 6177.22 |
| 10 | 12特征_日期数值 | 随机森林 | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1211.6404640631436 | 857.2259950393145 | 0.5822456578217434 | 3362.6023664502195 | 7437.1805507936515 | 3778 | 7634 | 5700.92 |
| 11 | 11特征_无日期 | 随机森林 | 11 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1243.2258138091481 | 1038.575310261998 | 0.5601815197920028 | 2508.394888672439 | 7396.9488500000025 | 1991 | 6107 | 3698.12 |
| 12 | 11特征_无日期 | SVR | 11 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1256.1142258603181 | 1110.5200812033272 | 0.5510151326775178 | 2435.653600556283 | 6728.154381038747 | 1857 | 5138 | 3785.22 |
| 13 | 12特征_仅日期sin | 随机森林 | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1300.1505289996633 | 1061.3027606571065 | 0.5189826853858082 | 2349.546295021645 | 7412.202957142856 | 1966 | 5800 | 3536.75 |
| 14 | 12特征_日期数值 | SVR | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1302.8065606379432 | 1122.631254189851 | 0.517015371360585 | 3038.4325167245174 | 6793.0357932052375 | 3203 | 5408 | 4553.72 |
| 15 | 13特征_日期sin_cos | 随机森林 | 13 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1362.4036579408184 | 1162.7424853677699 | 0.47181624787772836 | 2337.0508269841275 | 7378.615926190471 | 1981 | 5446 | 3498.99 |
| 16 | 13特征_日期sin_cos | SVR | 13 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1500.6745922933299 | 1355.960815132986 | 0.35916459954458013 | 2458.0732583146823 | 6405.637428945096 | 1864 | 4975 | 3596.58 |
| 17 | 12特征_仅日期sin | SVR | 12 | 584 | 147 | 2011-01-01 | 2012-08-06 | 2012-08-07 | 2012-12-31 | 1514.2320642644604 | 1364.971543352133 | 0.3475333594320331 | 2414.919176938589 | 6342.6982615190545 | 1813 | 4998 | 3673.18 |